Saturday, July 30, 2011

01/08/2011

Trading ideas for 1/08/2011(Monday)



Nifty consolidating and have a positive divergence in hourly chart and getting support at 5470 which provided support previously but caution needed because of US debt vote. Holding 5480 level nifty may try 5525 and above is bullish whereas close below 5430 is bearish.



FII DERIVATIVES
Index Future
Index Option
Stock Future
Stock Index
-904
+1453
+33
-8
FII Cash
-464
DII Cash
+411



India VIX : 19.77 up by 1.26 points
Call OI : 29986400
Put OI : 32914600
PCR : 1.098
SMR : 18.01
ADV/DEC 481/918




Intraday support and resistance:

S2
S1
Pivot
R1
R2
5418 5452 5485 55155555





Weekly support and resistance:

S2
S1
Pivot
R1
R2
5295 5392 5545 56355795



  • Nifty Open Interest for August stands at 1,95,44,150 up by 6,31,650 - Short Build-up
  • Bank Nifty Open Interest for August stands at 9,12,600 up by 38,000 -  Long Build-up



For 1/08/11 NF may take support at 5485

Above 5485 NF may rally up to 5520

Below 5485 NF may correct up to 5425



NIFTY LEVELS

Nifty future's projected high and low for next session is 5430 and 5530 (use this projection with other indicators). Nifty future's immediate support now comes around 5470 zone. If sustains that zone then it will towards 5505 zone. Crossover and sustenance above 5505 will show buying to 5540 level itself. But if cannot sustain above 5470 level it will again retest 5430 and this time below 5430 a real free fall will be seen which may take Nifty future upto 5380 zone.


OPTION DATA ANALYSIS


As per OI Table good addition was seen in 5500, 5600, 5700 and 5800 call while 5400, 5300, 5200, 5100 and 5000 put also got written. After the fall which started from RBI rate hike yesterday could be the first day we saw some put writing which means at least for the time being there could be some support at 5400.



Expected Bullish Stocks For 1/08/2011: BATAINDIA, IDEA, GTL, RCOM, DENABANK, AXISBANK.

Expected Bearish Stocks For 1/08/2011: ADANIENT, ADANIPOWER, NMDC, BGRENERGY .

28 comments:

  1. Even if US fails to get the vote my guess is there may not be any big sell off in indian market. Everyone knows the vote and indian market have not reacted much to this vote on friday. FII are net sellers but do not know what they bought in option.

    If US lose its triple A rating there could be some sell of in US bonds and US dollar.

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  2. GM Rishika....

    Today gap up opening 60 points...any trade and view pls....

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  3. can sell nifty only if it breaks todays low but risk is high because of short covering and world market in green

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  4. GM Rishika,

    U still hold Sail call ? Any advice on that ?

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  5. OKK..Thanks Rishika... Wait it for clear trend...

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  6. Hi Rishika, GM , any good resource to understand US debt issue?.
    And whats your views for nifty?. I think a call can be bought

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  7. einstein
    yes short is risky. i also want to buy some call if i get some dip. i am having a look at maruti call also but not have entered. what call you are planning for.

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  8. but i may not buy any call unless nifty breaks 5545 in upside.

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  9. I have already bought 5600 call at 66

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  10. From here downside seems to be capped at 5480. Look at weekly charts since nov. There should be a breakout this month. and upside chances seems more to me

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  11. Rishika,

    any weakness are u seen in market?.....

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  12. Einstein,
    How much upside are u expecting this month...

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  13. ganesh
    not much weakness. staying below 5520 is week but world market are green so i did not take any short.

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  14. Also take a look at charts for TTML for past 3 months. Still looks good to me.

    Major problem with Nifty is that Reliance is in downtrend and is a mystery, if it breaks 816 with volumes , then can't say anything.
    Your views about reliance?

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  15. My side also no trade, Just watching it...If any trade entry ... inform me..

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  16. einstein

    holding 5480 nifty will go up but i am looking for 5540 for strength.

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  17. Ganesh - hard to say, by next month maybe 5800-5900. Will go along with trend.

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  18. genius
    market is not falling down. looks strength. bought nifty 5518 with 5505 SL

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  19. :) My call at my buy price. Strict stop loss 60 for me also

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  20. I think still market not in Bull side....Every rise selling started..

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  21. GM Rishika,

    U still hold Sail call ? Any advice on that ?

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  22. yes holding that. it almost lost its value. not going to average that losing call but i will hold that for some more days.

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  23. OK,
    Please post when u exit...

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