Wednesday, July 20, 2011

Trading ideas for 21/07/2011

Trading ideas for 21/07/2011(Thursday)



Nifty may have a pause here. Will change only a close below 5530 or above 5610. FII overall trend for july is net buyers and the series started above 5600.



FII DERIVATIVES
Index Future
Index Option
Stock Future
Stock Index
+56+90
-392-12
FII Cash
-90
DII Cash
+20





India VIX : 19.11 down by 0.14 points
Call OI : 47065200
Put OI : 49010700
PCR : 1.041
SMR : 18.35

5DEMA: 5585
10DEMA: 5588
20DEMA: 5572
50DEMA: 5568
RSI (15 days): 50.15
Parabolic SAR: 5713




Intraday support and resistance:

S2
S1
Pivot
R1
R2
5495
5530
5585
5622
5678



Weekly support and resistance:

S2
S1
Pivot
R1
R2
5415
5505
5576
5657
5734




Nifty Open Interest for July stands at 2,15,85,150 up by 5,89,200 with decrease in price (Huge Short Buildup)


Bank Nifty Open Interest for July stands at 10,65,250 up by 50 with decrease in price (No Change in OI)


For 21/07/11 NF may take support at 5560

Above 5560 NF may rally up to 5590

Below 5560 NF may correct up to 5520



NIFTY LEVELS

Nifty future's projected high and low for next session is 5600 and 5510 (use this projection with other indicators). Nifty future's immediate support now comes around 5550 zone. If sustains that zone then it will towards 5590 zone. Crossover and sustenance above 5590 will show buying to 5620 level itself. But if cannot sustain above 5550 level it will again retest 5520 and this time below 5520 a real free fall will be seen which may take Nifty future upto 5490 zone.



OPTION DATA ANALYSIS

As per OI Table bears took full control from day open. Today they have started to write even 5500 call along with 5600 and 5700. unwinding of puts was seen in 5700, 5600 and in small quantity in 5500. Range for expiry looks 5480 to 5650. 5500 still looks strong support while 5700 is strong resistance and 5600 is still 50/50 chance with negative bias.

The PCR is at 1.04, down from 1.22 of yesterday which seems bearish. Nifty OI was up by 5.89 lacs mainly due to short build-up.Too much change is going on in the OI table on a daily basis and it’s becoming difficult taking call based on OI Table alone.



Expected Bullish Stocks For 21/07/2011:ARVIND, GITANJALI, IRB, PRAJIND, PETRONET .

Expected Bearish Stocks For 21/07/2011: HAVELLS, LUPIN, CROMPGREAV, LICHSGFIN, INDHOTEL.

19 comments:

  1. GM Rishika,

    Any fresh trade today....

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  2. if you play options and willing to take risk then can try icicibank 1050 call. it does not look to have more movement in nifty could be a range bound but chances of falling down are less.

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  3. Thanks Rishika..

    I will try to buy icici call...

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  4. just 5 more days for expiry its almost like gamble.

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  5. the above post was related to buying option.

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  6. for further downside nifty has to break 5530 and then 5490 otherwise this downside could be a false breakdown

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  7. Rishika ,
    Nifty buy level 5582 is spot or future one...

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  8. went long in nifty at 5555 SL 5539

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  9. good rishika,
    i am having 5500put and 5600 call....both around 80 points.... can i hold or book out..now both at 62

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  10. it looks like rangebound in between 5500 and 5600. 5500 put highest OI 5600 call is also getting near 10C mark. so it could be range bound atleast for today. so time decay may kill the option.

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  11. last few days very choppy movement....

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  12. yes 5500 put 5600,5700 and 5800 call all over 10C now

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  13. So option writter enjoying... buyers suffering....

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  14. Bad day. not a worry. Best of luck for tomorrow.

    ReplyDelete